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Possible consequences of current developments

  1. How do you get enough patience to train-debug-train models?

    • Benefits:

      Developing patience in training and debugging models can lead to a more thorough and accurate understanding of the model’s performance. This can result in improved model accuracy, efficiency, and generalizability. Additionally, patience can help researchers and developers avoid rushing through the process, which may lead to overlooking critical errors or inefficiencies.

    • Ramifications:

      On the flip side, a lack of patience in training and debugging models can result in inaccurate or underperforming models. Rushing through the process can lead to overlooking important details, which may hinder the model’s performance and generalizability. This impatience can also result in wasted time and resources if the model needs to be retrained multiple times due to errors or oversights.

  2. Some papers and approaches in the last few months which reduce pretraining and/or finetuning and/or inference costs generally or for specific use cases

    • Benefits:

      Implementing papers and approaches that reduce pretraining, finetuning, and inference costs can lead to more efficient and cost-effective model development. This can make AI technologies more accessible and scalable for various use cases and industries, ultimately driving innovation and progress in the field.

    • Ramifications:

      However, focusing solely on cost reduction may sometimes compromise the model’s performance or accuracy. It is essential to strike a balance between cost efficiency and model quality to ensure that the AI applications deliver reliable and effective results.

  • Cohere AI Releases C4AI Command R+: An Open Weights Research Release of a 104B Parameter Model with Highly Advanced Capabilities Including Tools like RAG
  • Weco AI Unveils ‘AIDE’: An AI Agent that can Automatically Solve Data Science Tasks at a Human Level
  • Poro 34B: A 34B Parameter AI Model Trained for 1T Tokens of Finnish, English, and Programming languages, Including 8B Tokens of Finnish-English Translation Pairs
  • Myshell AI and MIT Researchers Propose JetMoE-8B: A Super-Efficient LLM Model that Achieves LLaMA2-Level Training with Just US $0.1M

GPT predicts future events

  • Artificial general intelligence (AGI) (March 2035)

    • AGI is the next step beyond artificial narrow intelligence, where machines can perform any intellectual task that a human can do. With advancements in machine learning, neural networks, and computing power, we are steadily moving towards AGI. By 2035, we may have the necessary technology and understanding to create machines that can think and learn like humans.
  • Technological singularity (June 2040)

    • The technological singularity is a hypothetical event where artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence, leading to exponential growth in technological progress. With the accelerating pace of technology and the potential development of AGI, we may reach a point around 2040 where AI systems become self-improving and transformative on a scale that is beyond our current comprehension.